Securosis

Research

Mr. Market Says Security Is Winning

Today Dell announced its intention to acquire SonicWALL from private equity firm Thoma Bravo. This is less than two years after Thoma Bravo took SonicWALL private in a screaming deal, and with a deal size rumored up to $1.5 billion I think we can safely assume the bankers win again. As always. At some point I think Mike, Adrian, and I need to write up some post-acquisition boilerplate. Something including, “customers should talk to their sales reps/brain drain/happy bankers/watch this space/blah blah blah”. This is probably good for Dell because it will help address needs in their core SMB market, and SonicWALL cost less than a quarter what it would have to nab Fortinet. If the SecureWorks brains can feed the right intel into product development, things will probably work out just fine. Besides, with razor-thin hardware margins Dell needs to move into software and services, and security assets such as SonicWALL enhance both. But that isn’t what I want to talk about today. There is a bigger, more important issue at play. The simple fact that this deal went down, now, combined with some other indicators, is good evidence that the security market is succeeding despite ongoing headlines and opinions to the contrary. We’re going mainstream, baby! Acquisitions As Indicators Over the past year we have seen accelerating interest in security from mainstream IT vendors. Powerhouses like IBM, HP, and Dell are buying up security companies left and right. Even Intel got into the action with their purchase of McAfee, and Juniper with Mykonos. An even more specific indicator is the big vendors assembling all their assets into dedicated security business units. Some GM or SVP has a quota to sell security products. And it’s a high quota. Random acquisitions are nothing new, but all these companies are both talking about and building security portfolios on a larger scale than before, and devoting the resources to back them up. These big companies are hiring security folks (both product and services) like mad, and they have hundreds of sales folks pushing security products. Actually, only Cisco seems to be screwing up and moving in the other direction by talking about embedding security into everything. Reading between the lines, that means they no longer want to compete on the merits of their products. And talk about a brain drain. But that’s another story for another day. The Plural of Anecdote Big IT companies have been dabbling in security for years. The difference now is the growth in scale and the tone of the conversations. Every single one of these companies is citing direct customer demand and (off the record) competitive concerns. I don’t have numbers to back this up, and anecdote isn’t necessarily data, but enough anecdotes usually point to a trend which must be heeded. So we have multiple non-security vendors simultaneously making significant investments in security tools and services to offer their customers. Companies like IBM and HP that already have a lot of security products are each reorganizing their internal groups – all at the same time. Draw your own conclusions, but we see the writing on the wall. Big companies move slowly and are risk averse. They don’t need to innovate because they have a distribution machine that moves billions in products and services every quarter. They don’t move unless they feel forced. They are defensive, and acquire to protect markets, not to create them. Multiple, large, non-security companies all acquiring and reorganizing at the same time is a lagging indicator. Customers continue to struggle with security, and they demand better solutions from the folks who sell them millions of dollars of gear each year. They are tired of dealing with an armada of small start-ups to solve niche problems. They want the problem to go away, and the big guys are all worried that if they don’t at least address the problem they will lose their ability to milk the enterprise cash cows. #Winning There has been a lot of talk about us losing the battle. In a recent Incite, Mike talked about having a little perspective about what winning really means for a security professional. But if you want to be somewhat optimistic, maybe we need to look at winning in a different context. Maybe we are ‘winning’ because all the non-security people who we always claim “don’t get it” are driving dinosaurs (like IBM, HP, and Dell) to change direction and start taking security more seriously. These big companies are voting with their dollars, and there is no better indicator of seriousness. Security is in demand and clearly not being ignored within the upper echelon of IT companies. As Mike likes to say, Mr. Market is talking, and for once he’s saying ‘security’. Share:

Share:
Read Post
dinosaur-sidebar

Totally Transparent Research is the embodiment of how we work at Securosis. It’s our core operating philosophy, our research policy, and a specific process. We initially developed it to help maintain objectivity while producing licensed research, but its benefits extend to all aspects of our business.

Going beyond Open Source Research, and a far cry from the traditional syndicated research model, we think it’s the best way to produce independent, objective, quality research.

Here’s how it works:

  • Content is developed ‘live’ on the blog. Primary research is generally released in pieces, as a series of posts, so we can digest and integrate feedback, making the end results much stronger than traditional “ivory tower” research.
  • Comments are enabled for posts. All comments are kept except for spam, personal insults of a clearly inflammatory nature, and completely off-topic content that distracts from the discussion. We welcome comments critical of the work, even if somewhat insulting to the authors. Really.
  • Anyone can comment, and no registration is required. Vendors or consultants with a relevant product or offering must properly identify themselves. While their comments won’t be deleted, the writer/moderator will “call out”, identify, and possibly ridicule vendors who fail to do so.
  • Vendors considering licensing the content are welcome to provide feedback, but it must be posted in the comments - just like everyone else. There is no back channel influence on the research findings or posts.
    Analysts must reply to comments and defend the research position, or agree to modify the content.
  • At the end of the post series, the analyst compiles the posts into a paper, presentation, or other delivery vehicle. Public comments/input factors into the research, where appropriate.
  • If the research is distributed as a paper, significant commenters/contributors are acknowledged in the opening of the report. If they did not post their real names, handles used for comments are listed. Commenters do not retain any rights to the report, but their contributions will be recognized.
  • All primary research will be released under a Creative Commons license. The current license is Non-Commercial, Attribution. The analyst, at their discretion, may add a Derivative Works or Share Alike condition.
  • Securosis primary research does not discuss specific vendors or specific products/offerings, unless used to provide context, contrast or to make a point (which is very very rare).
    Although quotes from published primary research (and published primary research only) may be used in press releases, said quotes may never mention a specific vendor, even if the vendor is mentioned in the source report. Securosis must approve any quote to appear in any vendor marketing collateral.
  • Final primary research will be posted on the blog with open comments.
  • Research will be updated periodically to reflect market realities, based on the discretion of the primary analyst. Updated research will be dated and given a version number.
    For research that cannot be developed using this model, such as complex principles or models that are unsuited for a series of blog posts, the content will be chunked up and posted at or before release of the paper to solicit public feedback, and provide an open venue for comments and criticisms.
  • In rare cases Securosis may write papers outside of the primary research agenda, but only if the end result can be non-biased and valuable to the user community to supplement industry-wide efforts or advances. A “Radically Transparent Research” process will be followed in developing these papers, where absolutely all materials are public at all stages of development, including communications (email, call notes).
    Only the free primary research released on our site can be licensed. We will not accept licensing fees on research we charge users to access.
  • All licensed research will be clearly labeled with the licensees. No licensed research will be released without indicating the sources of licensing fees. Again, there will be no back channel influence. We’re open and transparent about our revenue sources.

In essence, we develop all of our research out in the open, and not only seek public comments, but keep those comments indefinitely as a record of the research creation process. If you believe we are biased or not doing our homework, you can call us out on it and it will be there in the record. Our philosophy involves cracking open the research process, and using our readers to eliminate bias and enhance the quality of the work.

On the back end, here’s how we handle this approach with licensees:

  • Licensees may propose paper topics. The topic may be accepted if it is consistent with the Securosis research agenda and goals, but only if it can be covered without bias and will be valuable to the end user community.
  • Analysts produce research according to their own research agendas, and may offer licensing under the same objectivity requirements.
  • The potential licensee will be provided an outline of our research positions and the potential research product so they can determine if it is likely to meet their objectives.
  • Once the licensee agrees, development of the primary research content begins, following the Totally Transparent Research process as outlined above. At this point, there is no money exchanged.
  • Upon completion of the paper, the licensee will receive a release candidate to determine whether the final result still meets their needs.
  • If the content does not meet their needs, the licensee is not required to pay, and the research will be released without licensing or with alternate licensees.
  • Licensees may host and reuse the content for the length of the license (typically one year). This includes placing the content behind a registration process, posting on white paper networks, or translation into other languages. The research will always be hosted at Securosis for free without registration.

Here is the language we currently place in our research project agreements:

Content will be created independently of LICENSEE with no obligations for payment. Once content is complete, LICENSEE will have a 3 day review period to determine if the content meets corporate objectives. If the content is unsuitable, LICENSEE will not be obligated for any payment and Securosis is free to distribute the whitepaper without branding or with alternate licensees, and will not complete any associated webcasts for the declining LICENSEE. Content licensing, webcasts and payment are contingent on the content being acceptable to LICENSEE. This maintains objectivity while limiting the risk to LICENSEE. Securosis maintains all rights to the content and to include Securosis branding in addition to any licensee branding.

Even this process itself is open to criticism. If you have questions or comments, you can email us or comment on the blog.