You didn’t think you would need to wait long for a Snowden reference, did you? Well, you know we Securosis guys like to keep you in suspense. But without further ado, it’s time. Snowden time!

CryptoZoology

The biggest noisemaker at RSA this year – besides Rothman – will be everyone talking about the NSA revelations. Everyone with a bully pulpit (which is basically everyone) will be yelling about how the NSA is all up in our stuff. Self-aggrandizing security pundits will be preaching about how RSA took a bribe, celebrating their disgust by speaking in the hallways and at opportunistic splinter conferences, instead of at the RSA podia. DLP, eDiscovery, and masking vendors will be touting their solutions to the “insider threat” with Snowden impersonators (as discussed in APT0). Old-school security people will be mumbling quietly in the corners of the Tonga Room, clutching drinks with umbrellas in them, saying “I told you so!”

One group who will be very, very quiet during the show: encryption vendors. They will not be talking about this! Why? Because they really can’t prove their stuff is not compromised, and in the absence of proof, they have already been convicted in the security star chamber. Neither Bruce Schneier nor Ron Rivest will be pulling proofs of non-tampering out of magic math hats. And even if they could, the security industry machine isn’t interested. There is too much FUD to throw. What’s worse is that encryption vendors almost universally look to NIST to validate the efficacy of their solutions – now that NIST is widely regarded as a pawn of the NSA, who can provide assurance? I feel sorry for the encryption guys – it will be a witch hunt!

The real takeaway here is that IT is – for the first time – questioning the foundational technologies data security has been built upon. And it has been a long time coming! Once we get past Snowden and NSA hype, the industry won’t throw the baby out with the bathwater, but will continue to use encryption – now with contingency plans, just in case. Smart vendors should be telling customers how to adjust or swap algorithms if and when parts of the crypto ecosystem becomes suspect. These organizations should also be applying disaster recovery techniques to encryption solutions, just in case.

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